Super Bowl LIV Sports Betting Odds Posted

By Ben Hamill - January 29 2020
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Super Bowl LIV Sports Betting Odds Posted

The NFL sports betting season has come to its end, with the San Francisco 49ers set to battle the Kansas City Chiefs in the much-anticipated Super Bowl LIV. Just a few hours after the last game’s final whistle was blown, odds were posted online on which team is most likely to take home the Lombardi Trophy early this coming February.

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Bookmakers have written up the Kansas City Chiefs as slight favourites to start with, posting a -120 Money Line for the full Super Bowl game, and -1.5 (-105) on the spread. The 49ers are not lagging too far behind, and have been placed at EVEN on the Money Line for the full game and +1.5 (-115) on the spread. The game’s over-under odds start at 54.0 (-110).

From that point onwards, proposed first half sports betting odds do not differ much either. The Chiefs have weighed in at -0.5 (EVEN) for the spread, leaving the 49ers with odds of +0.5 (-120) overall. Over-under odds for this portion have been set at 26.0 (-110).

Seeing the Bigger Picture

The opening line posting may surprise some sports betting enthusiasts if they are looking at regular season standings alone. The 49ers were naturally a very dominant team, achieving 13-3 and tying for the best in the NFC. On the other hand, the Chiefs came in at 12-4, lagging slightly behind the Baltimore Ravens with 14-2 in the AFC.

With that said, some more insight can definitely be gleaned from how these top teams finished off their season. The Chiefs haven’t suffered any losses in their last 8 games, winning 6 of them straight to finish the regular season and beating the Titans and the Texans in the play-offs. The 49ers, it must be said, lost 2 of their last 5 regular season games before trumping the Saints and then the Packers in the play-offs.

Reading Between the Betting Lines

So, does this mean that sports betting fans can bank on the Chiefs winning the LIV? Not necessarily. The Chiefs are an excellent team, but the 49ers could easily beat them as well. According to NFL analyst David Lombardi, the Chiefs have a better defence-adjusted value over average (or DVOA), but the 49ers have a far better defence. This means that they could dominate the Chiefs’ tepid run defence yet.

Then there is also the fact that the 49ers beat the Packers by a mile, only giving up some points in the second half when the game was all but over. The Chiefs did not seal their winning deal until the fourth quarter by comparison. What this means for sports betting enthusiasts is that, if the 49ers can make it to an early lead and hit the defence with the run, this opening line (and particularly the spread) could well produce some excellent returns.

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