Players Not Able To Detect Slot Variances

By Ben Hamill - July 26 2019
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Players Not Able To Detect Slot Variances

A significant new study shows that contrary to popular belief, players aren’t quite as tuned in to the likelihood of a win based on the actual detection of percentile statistics as what is currently still assumed to be true. Antony Lucas, a former analyst now associated with the University of Nevada’s William F. Harrah College of Hospitality, performed the study. Katherine Spilde, who is associated with San Diego State University, reportedly assisted Lucas.

The study was conducted over the course of a nine-month period and made use of two popular Australia-based slot machine games in order to accumulate the required data about player win-detection habits. The two games used throughout the study are Tokyo Rose and Dragon’s Fortune X.

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Considering The Facts

Lucas and Spilde employed a selection of player-focused exercises in order to reach the most accurate conclusions possible. One of the most prominent of these reportedly involved varying the cash percentage retained by the machines. The outer limits of the variable range were apparently fixed at 7.98% on the lower end of the spectrum and 14.93% at the maximum end.

When talking specific range, the room for movement between the two percentages may at first glance appear to be quite small, but when applying the principles of a deductive performance analysis relating specifically to the mechanisms governing games machines, the range isn’t that small at all.

A Change Of Mind Is Needed

But what does a player’s ability or inability to detect a payout percentage have to do with anything of significant value? According to Lucas and study-partner Spilde, a great deal more than what one may be prone to assume.

It must be said at this point that the study did not at all focus on the legal requirement on operators to clearly display RTP percentages on all slot pay tables, but rather the personal player experience. In other words, can the player detect subtle fluctuations in payout values, or not.

The outcome of the study may prove significant to operators all over the world and most notably those operators eager to optimize slot revenue. Operators are overly conscious about retaining players, and quite rightly so. The industry is as competitive as ever before and even the smallest edge over the next best operator is a notable and mostly significant achievement.

But if operators are going to benefit from the outcome of the study, says Lucas, they are going to have let go of a multitude of out dated opinions and ideas in order to make room for new and much more effective approaches.

Most of us will agree that change; especially daring change; is an unforgiving mistress indeed.

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